Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 71.301757 80.299279 89.532438 99.684338 110.502188 121.655940 133.996117
2025-02-16 56.849058 69.638302 83.390398 99.148853 116.583643 135.169241 156.367138
2025-02-23 48.821644 63.737166 80.337075 99.917749 122.134082 146.332060 174.460199
2025-03-02 42.215770 58.493010 77.186503 99.804489 126.022026 155.090164 189.400654
2025-03-09 37.327131 54.649663 75.117888 100.440157 130.331213 163.964986 204.162363
2025-03-16 32.361086 50.185900 71.869359 99.291671 132.234063 169.820917 215.265009
2025-03-23 29.398813 47.934778 71.049954 100.819835 137.092592 178.939040 229.992316
2025-03-30 26.967476 46.130453 70.591255 102.622900 142.150179 188.197897 244.820936
2025-04-06 23.802877 43.050433 68.280704 101.935296 144.042224 193.609474 255.070064
2025-04-13 20.383152 39.298196 64.842364 99.606281 143.744277 196.272886 261.968597
2025-04-20 19.447622 39.025825 65.953864 103.043968 150.543520 207.431949 278.933057
2025-04-27 18.147201 38.091744 66.084501 105.146218 155.634106 216.508119 293.416851
2025-05-04 15.859017 35.477870 63.797639 104.017502 156.643682 220.657026 302.080706
2025-05-11 13.830039 33.072471 61.657369 102.969042 157.672761 224.778124 310.685264
2025-05-18 12.550904 31.762695 60.989859 103.830035 161.097940 231.816465 322.803062
2025-05-25 11.135218 30.071757 59.659810 103.703078 163.182573 237.152543 332.826389
2025-06-01 10.049341 28.844210 58.938020 104.355260 166.242345 243.680502 344.297811
2025-06-08 8.651512 26.877152 56.976813 103.179628 166.824202 247.049585 351.855033
2025-06-15 7.974266 26.207747 56.973683 104.743597 171.024173 254.978627 365.045751
2025-06-22 7.408829 25.697247 57.183162 106.588584 175.589943 263.373838 378.828549
2025-06-29 6.412109 24.167620 55.675234 105.885026 176.679710 267.312497 387.057080
2025-07-06 5.239055 22.059129 53.090480 103.501651 175.410826 268.171526 391.397033
2025-07-13 5.119700 22.335700 54.485101 107.019402 182.219297 279.444657 408.809984